tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Traverse City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:15 EWR → 08:13 MSP
    DL 1641 · Delta · 2h 58m · 89% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 MSP → 12:54 TVC
    DL 3995 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 39mEWR 06:15 to TVC 12:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.