tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:15 EWR → 08:13 MSP
    DL 1641 · Delta · 2h 58m · 89% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:25 MSP → 11:55 MDW
    WN 4345 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 40mEWR 06:15 to MDW 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.