tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:45 MCO → 18:41 ATL
    DL 1642 · Delta · 1h 56m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 ATL → 20:36 MEM
    DL 2001 · Delta · 1h 26m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 51mMCO 16:45 to MEM 20:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.