tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Norfolk via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:45 MCO → 18:41 ATL
    DL 1642 · Delta · 1h 56m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 ATL → 21:42 ORF
    DL 2984 · Delta · 1h 46m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 00mMCO 16:45 to ORF 21:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.