tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Pensacola via Atlanta: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:45 MCO → 18:41 ATL
    DL 1642 · Delta · 1h 56m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:51 ATL → 20:05 PNS
    DL 3021 · Delta · 1h 14m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 20mMCO 16:45 to PNS 20:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.