tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:45 MCO → 18:41 ATL
    DL 1642 · Delta · 1h 56m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ATL → 19:58 BHM
    DL 3202 · Delta · 58m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 13mMCO 16:45 to BHM 19:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.