tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:45 MCO → 18:41 ATL
    DL 1642 · Delta · 1h 56m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:42 ATL → 21:48 SFO
    DL 495 · Delta · 5h 01m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip7h 58mMCO 16:45 to SFO 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.