tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Appleton via Detroit: arrives on time 59%

  1. 14:59 DEN → 19:53 DTW
    DL 1648 · Delta · 2h 53m · 83% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:09 DTW → 21:40 ATW
    DL 4159 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 41mDEN 14:59 to ATW 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.