tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Austin via Los Angeles: arrives on time 50%

  1. 13:10 MSP → 15:07 LAX
    DL 1651 · Delta · 3h 57m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 LAX → 20:58 AUS
    DL 622 · Delta · 3h 00m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 45mMSP 13:10 to AUS 20:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.