tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 08:25 DTW → 10:25 ATL
    DL 1653 · Delta · 2h 00m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:14 ATL → 12:45 TPA
    DL 1099 · Delta · 1h 31m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 20mDTW 08:25 to TPA 12:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.