tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 49%

  1. 08:15 ANC → 12:53 SEA
    DL 1656 · Delta · 3h 38m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 SEA → 00:25 JFK +1 day
    DL 461 · Delta · 5h 25m · 53% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 12h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip12h 10mANC 08:15 to JFK 00:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.