tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:15 MEM → 07:35 ATL
    DL 1666 · Delta · 1h 20m · 92% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:03 ATL → 12:24 EWR
    DL 2401 · Delta · 2h 21m · 86% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 09mMEM 05:15 to EWR 12:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.