tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:15 MEM → 07:35 ATL
    DL 1666 · Delta · 1h 20m · 92% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 ATL → 10:43 LGA
    DL 513 · Delta · 2h 13m · 88% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 28mMEM 05:15 to LGA 10:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.