tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:15 MEM → 07:35 ATL
    DL 1666 · Delta · 1h 20m · 92% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 57mMEM 05:15 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.