tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 07:05 EWR → 09:22 ATL
    DL 1673 · Delta · 2h 22m · 87% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ATL → 12:40 SNA
    DL 329 · Delta · 4h 40m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 35mEWR 07:05 to SNA 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.