tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 BZN → 09:18 MSP
    DL 1678 · Delta · 2h 18m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 MSP → 13:46 LGA
    DL 2764 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 46mBZN 06:00 to LGA 13:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.