tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 12:13 IAH → 15:23 ATL
    DL 1682 · Delta · 2h 10m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 ATL → 17:51 TPA
    DL 1425 · Delta · 1h 31m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 38mIAH 12:13 to TPA 17:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.