tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 12:13 IAH → 15:23 ATL
    DL 1682 · Delta · 2h 10m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:16 ATL → 17:15 TYS
    DL 2571 · Delta · 59m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 02mIAH 12:13 to TYS 17:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.