tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Sacramento via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 59%

  1. 19:25 MCO → 22:11 SLC
    DL 1691 · Delta · 4h 46m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:04 SLC → 23:44 SMF
    DL 1582 · Delta · 1h 44m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 23mMCO 19:25 to SMF 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.