tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:12 PHL → 19:20 ATL
    DL 1692 · Delta · 2h 08m · 62% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:18 ATL → 21:48 RDU
    DL 3244 · Delta · 1h 30m · 74% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 36mPHL 17:12 to RDU 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.