tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:51 IAD → 19:54 ATL
    DL 1695 · Delta · 2h 08m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 ATL → 22:07 AUS
    DL 1081 · Delta · 2h 27m · 60% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 21mIAD 17:51 to AUS 22:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.