tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 17:51 IAD → 19:54 ATL
    DL 1695 · Delta · 2h 08m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:46 ATL → 23:57 ROC
    DL 2472 · Delta · 2h 11m · 75% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 06mIAD 17:51 to ROC 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.