tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Charlotte via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:51 IAD → 19:54 ATL
    DL 1695 · Delta · 2h 08m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 ATL → 21:57 CLT
    DL 3139 · Delta · 1h 19m · 74% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 08mIAD 17:51 to CLT 21:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.