tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Los Angeles via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:51 IAD → 19:54 ATL
    DL 1695 · Delta · 2h 08m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 ATL → 22:36 LAX
    DL 331 · Delta · 4h 46m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 45mIAD 17:51 to LAX 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.