tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Sacramento via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 17:51 IAD → 19:54 ATL
    DL 1695 · Delta · 2h 08m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ATL → 22:54 SMF
    DL 682 · Delta · 4h 55m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 03mIAD 17:51 to SMF 22:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.