tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → San Jose via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 17:51 IAD → 19:54 ATL
    DL 1695 · Delta · 2h 08m · 74% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ATL → 22:49 SJC
    DL 933 · Delta · 4h 57m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 05mIAD 17:51 to SJC 22:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.