tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Minneapolis via Los Angeles: arrives on time 57%

  1. 13:08 LAS → 14:32 LAX
    DL 1696 · Delta · 1h 24m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 LAX → 21:04 MSP
    DL 2198 · Delta · 3h 39m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 56mLAS 13:08 to MSP 21:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.