tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New York via Boston: arrives on time 80%

  1. 22:32 PHX → 06:30 BOS
    DL 1697 · Delta · 4h 58m · 86% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 BOS → 10:24 JFK +1 day
    DL 5720 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 52mPHX 22:32 to JFK 10:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.