tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 16:21 MEM → 18:46 ATL
    DL 1700 · Delta · 1h 25m · 80% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 ATL → 22:29 EWR
    DL 2527 · Delta · 2h 19m · 65% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 08mMEM 16:21 to EWR 22:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.