tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 16:21 MEM → 18:46 ATL
    DL 1700 · Delta · 1h 25m · 80% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:57 EWR +1 day
    DL 2552 · Delta · 2h 18m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 189 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 37mMEM 16:21 to EWR 00:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.