tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Los Angeles via Sacramento: arrives on time 90%

  1. 10:23 MSP → 12:11 SMF
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 48m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:15 SMF → 15:52 LAX
    DL 3812 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 29mMSP 10:23 to LAX 15:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.