tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 61%

  1. 13:21 SMF → 18:49 MSP
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 28m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 MSP → 21:25 ORD
    DL 1563 · Delta · 1h 40m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 04mSMF 13:21 to ORD 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.