tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Newark via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 13:21 SMF → 18:49 MSP
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 28m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 MSP → 23:59 EWR
    DL 2846 · Delta · 2h 44m · 73% on time, 5.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 38mSMF 13:21 to EWR 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.