tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Washington via Nashville: arrives on time 45%

  1. 09:30 SEA → 16:02 BNA
    DL 1710 · Delta · 4h 32m · 83% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 BNA → 19:59 DCA
    DL 5786 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 59m · 62% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 29mSEA 09:30 to DCA 19:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.