tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Appleton via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:32 MSP → 10:47 ATW
    DL 4951 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 15m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 17mORD 06:30 to ATW 10:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.