tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 11:43 DTW
    DL 1433 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 13mORD 06:30 to DTW 11:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.