tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Minneapolis: arrives on time 89%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 17m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:23 MSP → 12:11 SMF
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 48m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 17m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 41mORD 06:30 to SMF 12:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.