tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Asheville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:04 MSP → 12:20 AVL
    DL 2181 · Delta · 2h 20m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 54mORD 06:30 to AVL 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.