tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Portland via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 10:40 PDX
    DL 2415 · Delta · 3h 39m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 09mORD 06:30 to PDX 10:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.