tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:21 MSP → 13:53 RDU
    DL 2521 · Delta · 2h 30m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 21mORD 06:30 to RDU 13:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.