tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 MSP → 13:46 LGA
    DL 2764 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 16mORD 06:30 to LGA 13:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.