tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → St Louis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 MSP → 10:28 STL
    DL 3188 · Delta · 1h 33m · 85% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip3h 58mORD 06:30 to STL 10:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.