tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 MSP → 12:58 SEA
    DL 889 · Delta · 3h 48m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 28mORD 06:30 to SEA 12:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.