tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sioux Falls via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 08:06 MSP
    DL 1717 · Delta · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 MSP → 10:16 FSD
    DL 3561 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 11m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip3h 46mORD 06:30 to FSD 10:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.