tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 11:30 JFK → 14:50 SEA
    DL 1719 · Delta · 6h 20m · 82% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:20 SEA → 20:08 SNA
    AS 472 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 38mJFK 11:30 to SNA 20:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.