tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 11:30 JFK → 14:50 SEA
    DL 1719 · Delta · 6h 20m · 82% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 SEA → 20:12 SJC
    DL 4100 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 22m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 11h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 42mJFK 11:30 to SJC 20:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.