tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:15 TPA → 07:51 ATL
    DL 1726 · Delta · 1h 36m · 88% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:04 ATL → 11:09 BUF
    DL 1384 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 54mTPA 06:15 to BUF 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.