tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:15 TPA → 07:51 ATL
    DL 1726 · Delta · 1h 36m · 88% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 ATL → 09:46 BHM
    DL 3164 · Delta · 57m · 90% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 32mTPA 06:15 to BHM 09:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.