tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:10 MDW → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 ATL → 22:55 RDU
    DL 1154 · Delta · 1h 30m · 61% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 45mMDW 17:10 to RDU 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.