tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Providence via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:10 MDW → 20:22 ATL
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:27 ATL → 22:46 PVD
    DL 2064 · Delta · 2h 31m · 71% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 48mMDW 17:10 to PVD 22:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.